San Francisco → Phuket flights

Median $396 — most fares cluster near the low end

Key takeaways

• Median fare of $396 anchors this route, and it matches the 25th percentile — a sign cheap fares aren't rare outliers.
• 75% of observed fares were $422 or lower, so paying much above that puts you in the upper range.
• High end of $484 is only about 22% above the median — a moderate, not extreme, spread.
• Only 12 snapshots were sampled, so treat day-specific patterns here as a thin-data signal rather than a firm rule.
• No single carrier dominance was visible in the data, so we can't attribute the price floor to one airline's pricing strategy.

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the SFO → HKT price history page.

The full picture

Over the 12 days we tracked, SFO–HKT fares stayed fairly tight: a $396 median that's identical to the 25th percentile, meaning cheap fares weren't occasional flukes but close to the norm during this window. The $484 high represents roughly a 22% spread above median — enough to matter if you're budgeting, but not the kind of wild swing that suggests wildly volatile pricing or a thin inventory route.

With only 12 snapshots, we can't responsibly claim a specific booking window softens prices — that would require a longer rolling history to separate signal from noise. What we can say is that the bulk of fares (the bottom 75%) sat at or under $422, so a fare quote materially above that level is worth comparing against alternate dates or routing before booking. If you see something at or near $396, the data suggests you're already near the floor observed in this period.

We don't have enough visibility into carrier mix to credit a specific airline for the lower fares, so we're not making claims about which carrier to target. The honest caveat here is sample size: 12 days of snapshots is a reasonable short-term read on where prices are clustering right now, but it's not sufficient to generalize about seasonal patterns, weekday effects, or long-term booking-window behavior for this route. Treat these numbers as a current snapshot of market pricing, not a forecast.

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