San Francisco → Honolulu flights

SFO–Honolulu fares are tight: expect ~$152, rarely above $163

Key takeaways

• Median fare across the sample is $152, with most prices falling between $145 and $162 (25th–75th percentile)
• The full range spans just $145 to $163 — a 12% spread, so timing matters less than usual on this route
• Bottom quartile fares bottom out at $145, only about $7 below the median — limited room for a true bargain
• With only 12 snapshots sampled, this is a thinner dataset than ideal — treat patterns as directional, not precise
• No dominant carrier was identifiable in this data, so we can't speak to airline-specific pricing behavior

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the SFO → HNL price history page.

The full picture

The SFO–Honolulu route is showing unusually stable pricing. With a median of $152 and a spread of just 12% between the low ($145) and high ($163), this is not a market where waiting for a dramatic drop is likely to pay off. The 25th-to-75th percentile band ($145–$162) confirms that most fares cluster tightly around the median — there's no long tail of cheap outlier fares to hunt for, nor is there a risk of getting badly burned by a price spike.

Because the spread is narrow, the usual advice about 'booking windows' matters less here than on more volatile routes. We don't have enough resolution in this dataset to say when within a 30-day or multi-month horizon prices typically soften — what the data does show is that whenever you book within this window, you're likely to land within about $10-15 of the median either way. If your travel dates are flexible, it may be worth checking fares a few times over a couple of weeks and booking as soon as you see something at or below $150, since that's already near the low end of what this market has shown.

We can't identify a dominant carrier from this data, so we're not able to comment on whether a specific airline is driving the low end or high end of the range. It's also worth being upfront about sample size: 12 daily snapshots is a modest base for drawing firm conclusions, and real-world fares can still move outside this range due to seasonality, holidays, or fuel surcharges not captured here. Treat the $152 median as a solid reference point for budgeting, but don't expect it to be a precise predictor of what you'll pay on any single day.

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