San Francisco → Auckland flights

SFO–Auckland typically runs $549 — bottom quartile sits near $535

Key takeaways

• $549 median fare across 30 daily snapshots on this route
• Bottom quartile ($535) and median are close together, suggesting a stable everyday price floor
• Top quartile jumps to $561, but the real outlier is the $881 high, showing occasional sharp spikes
• 72% spread between low ($513) and high ($881) signals real volatility — this isn't a flat-fare route
• Most snapshots land well below the $881 ceiling, so that price looks like an exception, not the norm

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the SFO → AKL price history page.

The full picture

The SFO–Auckland route shows a fairly tight everyday price band — a $513 low and a $549 median, with the 25th-to-75th percentile range ($535–$561) sitting close together. That clustering tells you the 'typical' fare is genuinely close to $549 most of the time, not just a mathematical midpoint pulled around by outliers. The real story is the $881 high: it's a significant jump above the median, and the 72% spread percentage confirms this route has meaningful volatility, likely driven by a handful of expensive dates or fare classes selling out.

With 30 days of snapshots, we have a reasonable sample to characterize the everyday range, though we can't say precisely when in a booking cycle those $800+ spikes occur — the data shows cached fares across the window, not a day-by-day booking curve tied to travel dates. What we can say is that if you're seeing a quote near $535–$561, you're in the normal range for this route; anything approaching $700+ is well outside the typical band and worth waiting out or comparing against other dates if your travel is flexible.

No dominant carrier was identifiable from this data, so we can't speak to airline-specific pricing patterns or whether particular carriers are driving the high-end outliers. The safest takeaway is a target price, not a target date: treat $549 as your benchmark, and treat the bottom quartile ($535) as a genuinely good fare worth booking without hesitation. The honest caveat here is that with a 72% spread and no visibility into which specific dates produced the $881 figure, we can't promise a booking-window strategy will avoid the spikes entirely — only that most days recently have priced far closer to $549 than to $881.

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