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Los Angeles → Manila flights
LAX–MNL fares have held near a $222 median across 30 days; book anytime you see a price close to that, and skip anything well above $300.
Fares cluster near $222 — most days are cheap, a few spike to $346
Key takeaways
- Median fare is $222, and it's held remarkably steady across the 30-day sample.
- Middle 50% of fares sat between $222 and $223 — the bulk of days are essentially identical in price.
- High outlier of $346 pulls the overall spread to 57%, but that figure overstates typical day-to-day variation.
- Low of $221 is barely below the median, suggesting little upside from timing a 'dip' — the dip is already the norm.
- Only a small number of days appear to drive the high end, so treat $300+ quotes as the exception, not the trend.
30-day price trend
See full numbers and stats on the LAX → MNL price history page.
The full picture
The headline spread of 57% looks dramatic, but it's misleading here. The bottom quartile ($222) and top quartile ($223) are almost identical, meaning three out of four days in our sample priced within a dollar of the median. The real story isn't volatility — it's stability, punctuated by a small number of much higher fares (up to $346) that drag the range wide without reflecting typical pricing.
Because the bulk of snapshots sit so close to $222, there's little evidence of a meaningful 'book early vs. book late' advantage within this window — the fare simply hasn't moved much day to day. That's a different pattern from routes where prices climb steadily as departure nears; here, the data suggests the low price is more often the default than the exception. If you see a quote near $222–$223, there's no strong signal from this data that waiting will do better, since that is already where most days land.
We don't have enough visibility into carrier identity or specific departure dates in this dataset to say whether the $346 outliers cluster on particular days of the week, holidays, or a specific airline's fare class — so we won't speculate on causes. The honest takeaway: this route has been unusually consistent at a low fare for most of the sample period, with occasional spikes that are worth avoiding but not worth timing around. One caveat: 30 daily snapshots of cached fares is a reasonable sample, but it's a single month's window — it doesn't tell us how this route behaves across seasons, so treat this as a snapshot of recent pricing behavior rather than a year-round guarantee.
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Why we regenerated this article: Top quartile ↓ 19% ($275 → $223). We only rewrite when the underlying price index actually moves — stable weeks keep the previous take.
AI-authored from this route's 30-day price index. Article last regenerated Oct 17, 2026. Fares shift continuously — confirm at booking.