Los Angeles → Manila flights
Median fares on LAX–Manila sit around $272, with bottom-quartile deals at $205; book early and watch for dips toward that lower band.
LAX–Manila: Target $205–$273 and book well in advance
Key takeaways
- Median fare is $272, based on 30-day snapshots of the cheapest cached fares — a reasonable planning anchor for this transpacific route.
- Bottom-quartile fares reach $205 (p25), meaning roughly one in four snapshots caught prices at or below that level — a meaningful target for flexible travelers.
- The spread is 93% (low $205, high $396), signaling high volatility; timing your search well can make a $191 difference on a single ticket.
- The p75 sits at $273, just $1 above the median, suggesting the upper half of fares clusters tightly — most of the variance is driven by occasional high outliers near $396.
- Sample size is 11 days, which is below the 30-day ideal; treat these figures as directional rather than statistically definitive.
30-day price trend
See full numbers and stats on the LAX → MNL price history page.
The full picture
Los Angeles to Manila is a competitive transpacific corridor, and the price range in this dataset reflects that dual reality: there are genuinely low fares available, but also significant exposure to the upside if you miss the window. The median of $272 is a useful planning number, but the tight p25–p75 band ($205–$273) tells the more important story — when fares are not spiking, they tend to cluster in a relatively narrow zone just above $200. The high-end outlier near $396 appears to represent a separate demand state entirely, likely driven by last-minute bookings or peak-period inventory constraints.
On a route of this length (roughly 16–18 hours of flying), fares historically soften furthest out — typically 2 to 5 months before departure for transpacific economy seats. The $205 floor observed here likely represents that early-booking sweet spot rather than a same-week deal. If the $205–$273 band is your target, the practical advice is to set price alerts now and be ready to book the moment a fare drops into that zone, rather than waiting for further declines that may not materialize.
No dominant carrier pattern is identifiable from this dataset, and with only 11 daily snapshots, day-of-week booking patterns cannot be responsibly inferred. The 93% spread is the headline risk factor: this route can clearly swing hard in either direction depending on season, demand, and how far out you're booking. One honest caveat — 11 samples is a thin basis for confident trend claims. These figures are best used as a price-awareness tool rather than a precise forecast; monitor fares over several weeks before drawing firm conclusions about what "normal" looks like on this route.
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AI-authored from this route's 30-day price index. Article last regenerated Aug 29, 2026. Fares shift continuously — confirm at booking.