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Los Angeles → Tokyo flights

Median LAX–NRT fare is $294 over 30 days; watch for dips toward $257 and avoid chasing the $318 high.

LAX–Tokyo fares hover near $294 — bottom quartile is $257

Key takeaways

  • Median fare across 30 days sits at $294
  • Bottom quartile (25th percentile) fares dip to $257
  • Low observed fare was $244, high was $318 — a 30% spread
  • Most fares cluster between $257 and $301 (the p25–p75 range)
  • No dominant carrier signal in the data, so airline-specific timing claims aren't supported

30-day price trend

LAX → NRT · cheapest cached fare per day · last 30 days · ↑ 12%
$244 low$354 high

See full numbers and stats on the LAX → NRT price history page.

The full picture

Over the 30-day window we tracked, LAX–Tokyo fares ranged from $244 to $318, with a median of $294. That's a 30% spread from low to high — wide enough to suggest genuine day-to-day volatility rather than a flat, static price. More telling is the interquartile range: half of all observed fares fell between $257 and $301, meaning the $244 low was something of an outlier rather than a reliably repeatable price point.

With a 30-sample window, we can describe the current pricing landscape but can't isolate a specific booking-window sweet spot — that would require tracking fares against actual departure dates over a longer horizon. What we can say is that treating $294 as your benchmark is reasonable: if you see fares at or below the $257 mark, that's bottom-quartile pricing worth acting on, while anything approaching $318 is toward the high end of what we've observed and likely worth waiting out if your travel dates are flexible.

We don't see a dominant carrier clearly enough in this data to make claims about specific airline pricing behavior on this route, so we're not going to speculate about which carrier tends to run cheaper. The honest caveat here: 30 daily snapshots tell you about recent pricing distribution, not about seasonal patterns, advance-purchase timing, or how fares behave closer to departure. Treat the $257–$301 range as your practical planning window, and consider this a snapshot of current conditions rather than a long-term forecast.

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Search LAX → NRT on Aviasales →See the price history →
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Why we regenerated this article: Median fare ↑ 13% ($260 → $294). We only rewrite when the underlying price index actually moves — stable weeks keep the previous take.

AI-authored from this route's 30-day price index. Article last regenerated Sep 19, 2026. Fares shift continuously — confirm at booking.

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