Los Angeles → Lisbon flights

LAX–Lisbon fares cluster near $331 — a moderate 24% spread

Key takeaways

• Median fare sits at $331, with the bottom quartile at $318 — a useful target range
• Prices have ranged from $315 to $391, a 24% spread across the sample
• The bottom 25% of fares cluster at or below $318, suggesting some room to beat the median
• Sample size is thin at 12 snapshots, so treat patterns as directional, not definitive
• No dominant carrier was identifiable in this data, so airline-specific timing claims aren't supported

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the LAX → LIS price history page.

The full picture

Over the 12 days we tracked, LAX–Lisbon fares held in a fairly moderate band: a $315 low, a $391 high, and a median of $331. The 24% spread between low and high isn't razor-tight, but it's not wild either — it suggests this route doesn't swing dramatically day to day, and fares in the low $300s aren't rare outliers but part of a normal range. The p25/p75 split ($318 to $391) shows that a solid quarter of observed fares came in right around the median or just below it, which is where a cost-conscious traveler should be aiming.

We don't have enough historical depth here to say when in the booking horizon — weeks or months out — prices typically soften, since our window only covers 12 snapshots and doesn't span a full booking cycle. What we can say is that if you see a fare at or near $318, you're in the bottom quartile of what we've observed, which is a reasonable signal to book rather than hold out for something dramatically lower. Waiting for a fare below $315 means betting against the data we have.

No single carrier stood out as dominant in this dataset, so we can't speak to day-of-week patterns or airline-specific pricing quirks on this route. The honest caveat: 12 data points is a thin sample for a transatlantic route like this, and fare behavior can shift with seasonality, fuel costs, or schedule changes that a two-week window won't capture. Treat the $318–$331 range as a sensible target, not a guarantee, and recheck closer to your travel dates if your window is flexible.

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