New York → Vancouver flights

Most fares cluster at $231 — the real win is catching a rare $173 dip

Key takeaways

• Median fare is $231, and that's also both the 25th and 75th percentile — most snapshots landed right at this price
• Low of $173 shows real discounts exist, but they appear to be the exception, not the norm
• High of $239 is only about $8 above the median — the ceiling here is modest
• 38% spread is driven almost entirely by that one low outlier, not steady day-to-day movement
• Sample size is just 12 days, so treat these patterns as a directional signal, not a firm forecast

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the JFK → YVR price history page.

The full picture

The data shows an unusually tight core: with p25 and p75 both sitting at $231, the vast majority of fares tracked for JFK–Vancouver landed at the same price point. The 38% spread figure is almost entirely explained by a single low fare of $173, rather than broad fluctuation across the booking window. In practical terms, that means travelers shouldn't expect to find a wide range of prices on any given day — most searches will return something close to $231, with occasional access to a meaningfully cheaper fare.

Because the sample is only 12 days, we can't confidently map out a booking-horizon curve (e.g., "prices drop 3 weeks out") — there simply isn't enough data to say when in the booking cycle the $173 fare appeared relative to departure. What we can say is that the gap between the median and the low ($58, roughly 25% below median) is large enough to be worth watching for if you have flexible dates or are comfortable setting a fare alert and waiting for a dip rather than booking the first price you see.

No dominant carrier pattern or day-of-week trend is visible in this dataset, so we can't make claims about specific airlines or weekday effects on this route. The honest takeaway: budget around $231 as your baseline, treat anything near $173 as a genuinely good deal worth jumping on, and recognize that with just 12 snapshots, this read is more a snapshot of recent conditions than a reliable long-term pattern.

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