New York → Lisbon flights

JFK–LIS: Budget $280 and book early for transatlantic value

Key takeaways

• The median fare is $280, with half of all observed prices falling between $262 and $291 — a tight $29 interquartile range.
• The lowest recorded fare was $261, just $19 below the p25, suggesting deep discounts are rare but not impossible.
• The high-end outlier hit $342 — a 31% spread over the observed window, meaning late or poorly-timed bookings can cost meaningfully more.
• A 31% spread across 30 daily snapshots indicates moderate price volatility — enough to reward patience, but not so extreme that timing is everything.
• Staying at or below $291 (p75) is a realistic target; fares above that likely reflect last-minute or peak-demand availability.

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the JFK → LIS price history page.

The full picture

The JFK–Lisbon market presents a relatively tight pricing band for a transatlantic route. With a median of $280 and 50% of snapshots landing between $262 and $291, this corridor is more predictable than many long-haul options — but the $342 high-end observation confirms that prices can spike meaningfully under the right (or wrong) conditions. A 31% spread over 30 days is moderate: not volatile enough to warrant obsessive monitoring, but wide enough that booking without any attention to price trends could cost you an extra $60 or more.

On transatlantic routes generally, fares tend to harden as departure approaches and seat inventory thins — a pattern consistent with the gap between this data's low ($261) and high ($342). The practical implication: if you see a fare at or below the $280 median, it reflects a solid position in the observed price distribution and is worth locking in. Waiting for something closer to $261 is a reasonable stretch goal, but the data shows that fares cluster just above that floor, meaning the window of sub-$265 availability is narrow.

No dominant carrier signal is present in this dataset, so routing and airline selection should be evaluated on itinerary quality rather than assumed fare advantages. One honest caveat: these 30 snapshots capture cheapest cached fares at the moment of collection — they reflect a specific fare-search environment and may not account for seasonal demand shifts, holiday surges, or promotional sales that could move prices outside this observed range in either direction.

Ready to look at fares?

• When to book
  New York → Lisbon
  AI-authored booking-window guide
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• Price history
  New York → Lisbon
  30-day daily price snapshots
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• Where to stay
  Best hotels in Lisbon
  🇵🇹 Portugal
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• When to book
  New York → London
  Same origin, different destination
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