New York → Nassau flights

Fares cluster near $123 — the dip to $95 is the exception, not the norm

Key takeaways

• Median fare of $123 anchors the route over the 30-day sample window
• Bottom quartile sits at $107, meaning only a quarter of observed fares dropped below that mark
• Top of the range hits $133, keeping the overall spread fairly contained despite one notable $95 low
• 40% spread between low and high is moderate — enough to justify tracking prices, but not wild volatility
• No single carrier dominance is visible in the data, so fare patterns likely reflect general market pricing rather than one airline's strategy

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the JFK → NAS price history page.

The full picture

Over 30 daily snapshots, JFK–Nassau fares held a fairly narrow band: the middle 50% of prices (p25–p75) ran from $107 to $126, with a median of $123. That's a useful anchor — if you see a fare close to or below $123, you're doing about as well as the typical traveler in this window. The $95 low stands out as an outlier on the cheap end, and the $133 high caps the range, giving a 40% spread from bottom to top. That's a moderate spread: not the kind of route where prices swing wildly day to day, but enough variance that it's worth checking fares more than once before committing.

With only 30 days of snapshots, we can't map out a full booking-horizon curve — we don't have visibility into how prices behave 60, 90, or 120 days out. What we can say is that within this snapshot window, most fares sat close to the median rather than near either extreme, suggesting the $95 fare was likely a brief dip rather than a sustainable target. If you're planning a trip, treat $123 as your realistic benchmark and treat anything under the $107 mark as a genuinely good find worth booking quickly.

The data doesn't show a dominant carrier or a clear day-of-week pattern, so we can't responsibly claim that flying on a particular weekday or booking through a specific airline saves money on this route — that would be reading into noise that isn't there. The honest takeaway: this is a moderately stable route price-wise, the median is a solid reference point, and the sample, while reasonably sized at 30 days, only covers a single snapshot window rather than a full seasonal cycle, so treat these figures as a near-term guide rather than a year-round rule.

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