New York → Miami flights

JFK–Miami fares cluster near $143 — the dip to $118 is the outlier

Key takeaways

• Median fare of $143 is a solid benchmark for this route right now
• Bottom quartile ($139 or less) is close to median, meaning deep discounts are rare
• $118 low appears to be a one-off rather than a reliable target
• Top of range ($156) is only ~9% above the P75, so late bookings aren't drastically riskier
• Sample is thin (only 12 days), so treat these figures as directional, not definitive

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the JFK → MIA price history page.

The full picture

The JFK–Miami route is currently showing a median cached fare of $143, with the middle 50% of observed prices (P25–P75) landing between $139 and $154. That's a tight band — most days you'll see a price within about $10–15 of median, which suggests this route doesn't swing wildly day to day. The one notable exception is the $118 low, which sits well below the P25 and looks more like a rare fare flash than something you can count on seeing again soon.

With only 12 snapshots, we can't confidently map this to a booking-horizon curve — we don't have enough history to say whether prices soften closer to departure or further out. What we can say is that the 32% spread between low and high is moderate: not flat, but not chaotic either. If you see a fare at or below the $139 P25 mark, that's a good sign you're getting a competitive price for this corridor; waiting for something close to the $118 low is a gamble, since it may have been a limited-inventory fare that's already gone.

No dominant carrier was identifiable in this data, so we can't speak to airline-specific pricing patterns or whether one carrier is consistently cheaper on this route. The honest takeaway: treat $143 as your reference point, snap up anything near or below the P25 of $139, and don't bank on repeating the $118 low. Given the small sample size, these numbers should be refreshed with more days of data before leaning on them for a high-stakes booking decision.

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