New York → Lima flights

JFK→LIM: Budget $291 and watch for dips toward $246

Key takeaways

• Median fare is $291 across 30 daily cached-fare snapshots — a reliable anchor for budgeting.
• Bottom quartile (p25) is $288, meaning the cheapest 25% of observations clustered tightly just below that — genuine low fares aren't rare, but the window to catch them is narrow.
• Floor was $246 and ceiling $349 — a $103 spread (42%) that's meaningful enough to reward price-tracking rather than booking on impulse.
• p75 is $307, so three-quarters of observed fares came in at or below $307 — paying more than that is avoidable with modest flexibility.
• With a 42% spread, this route has enough price volatility to justify setting a fare alert rather than booking the first price you see.

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the JFK → LIM price history page.

The full picture

New York–Lima (JFK–LIM) is a roughly 7-hour nonstop or one-stop haul to South America, and the 30-day fare snapshot paints a picture of a route with moderate but real pricing volatility. The median of $291 sits as a solid planning baseline, but the tight cluster between p25 ($288) and p75 ($307) — a gap of only $19 — tells you that most of the time prices hover in a fairly narrow band. The action happens at the tails: when fares drop toward the observed floor of $246, that's a meaningful 15% discount from median, and those moments are worth chasing.

The 42% spread between the $246 low and $349 high is the most important strategic signal here. It's large enough that timing your purchase matters, but the compressed interquartile range suggests that truly cheap fares ($246–$270 range) surface only occasionally rather than routinely. The practical implication: set a fare alert at or below $270 and book promptly if it triggers — these dips don't appear to linger. If you need certainty and flexibility isn't an option, anything at or below $307 (p75) is a defensible price that beats the majority of observed fares.

Because the dataset captures cached cheapest fares rather than live booking-window data, it isn't possible to pinpoint exactly how far in advance the low fares appeared, nor whether a specific day-of-week pattern drives the floor. No dominant carrier signal emerged from this data, so comparison-shopping across airlines serving JFK–LIM remains worthwhile. One honest caveat: 30 snapshots cover one rolling month, which may not capture seasonal demand shifts — fares to Lima can move around South American holiday periods and Northern Hemisphere summer, so treat these figures as a current-market reference rather than a year-round guarantee.

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