New York → Washington flights

Fares hold near $102 — thin shopping window, modest spread

Key takeaways

• Median fare sits at $102, with the bottom quartile at $94 — a realistic target if you're flexible.
• The full range runs $92 to $111, a 21% spread that's on the modest side for a short-haul route.
• Half of observed fares fell between $94 and $105, so paying near the median is the norm, not an outlier.
• Sample size is just 12 days, so treat these as directional ranges rather than precise day-by-day signals.
• No dominant carrier was identifiable from the data, so loyalty or airline-specific pricing patterns can't be confirmed here.

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the JFK → DCA price history page.

The full picture

The JFK–DCA route shows a fairly narrow price band: fares in this 12-day sample ranged from $92 to $111, a 21% spread that's on the low end for domestic routes. That compression suggests this is a relatively stable, high-frequency corridor — the kind of route where airlines don't swing pricing dramatically based on demand signals, likely because of the dense shuttle-style schedule between New York and Washington. With a median of $102 and a p25–p75 band of just $94–$105, most travelers are likely paying within $10 of the midpoint regardless of when they shop.

Because the spread is small, we can't point to a clear softening period within the booking horizon — the data doesn't show the kind of steep early/late price divergence seen on longer or more seasonal routes. If anything, the tight clustering around the median implies that booking whenever is convenient, rather than waiting for a dip, is a defensible strategy here. Shoppers aiming for the bottom quartile ($94 or below) should treat it as a modest win, not a rare deal — it appeared in roughly a quarter of the sampled snapshots.

No single carrier's pricing pattern stood out in the data, so we can't speak to day-of-week or airline-specific behavior with confidence. The honest caveat: with only 12 days of snapshots, this is a thin sample for a route that likely sees many daily departures and fare classes. Treat the $92–$111 range as a useful planning band rather than a guarantee, and expect some fares outside it on any given search.

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