New York → Cartagena flights
Fares from New York JFK to Cartagena median at $172 across 18 snapshots, with a 41% spread suggesting meaningful savings for flexible bookers.
JFK–Cartagena: Target $172 or less on this volatile route
Key takeaways
- Median fare is $172, with the bottom quartile at $143 — meaning at least a quarter of observed fares hit that floor.
- The low recorded was $143 and the high $201, a $58 range that represents a 41% spread — unusually wide, signaling genuine price volatility on this route.
- $172 is a reasonable target: fares at or below this level appeared in at least half of the 18 daily snapshots captured.
- The p25–p75 range runs $143–$172, so prices cluster toward the lower end — the upper bound of $201 appears to be an outlier rather than the norm.
- Sample size is 18 days — below the 30-day ideal, so treat these figures as directional rather than definitive.
30-day price trend
See full numbers and stats on the JFK → CTG price history page.
The full picture
The JFK–Cartagena route shows a tighter absolute price band ($143–$201) than many transatlantic or long-haul routes, but a 41% spread on a sub-$200 fare is proportionally significant — a $58 swing can represent nearly a third of the ticket cost. The bottom quartile sitting at $143 suggests that patient shoppers do encounter the floor price with some regularity, while the median of $172 serves as a credible anchor for what a reasonably timed booking will cost. The fact that p75 equals the median ($172) implies the upper half of fares collapses into a relatively narrow band, with the $201 high being something of an outlier.
On booking timing, a spread this wide typically reflects demand surges around peak travel periods rather than steady day-to-day drift. For a leisure-heavy destination like Cartagena, expect fares to firm up during U.S. holiday windows and Colombian festival periods. Booking 6–10 weeks out has historically aligned with softer pricing on Caribbean leisure routes of this distance, though this dataset does not capture booking-horizon data directly — that guidance is general pattern, not derived from these snapshots.
One honest caveat: with only 18 daily snapshots rather than the full 30, the statistics here carry more uncertainty than usual. The low of $143 could reflect a flash sale or a specific travel date that won't recur predictably. Use $172 as your mental benchmark — if you see that or below, it's a fare consistent with what the data shows as normal. If you're being quoted $190 or more, there's reasonable historical basis to expect prices may ease, but no guarantee they will.
Ready to look at fares?
Related travel pages
Why we regenerated this article: Median fare ↑ 20% ($143 → $172). We only rewrite when the underlying price index actually moves — stable weeks keep the previous take.
AI-authored from this route's 30-day price index. Article last regenerated Sep 5, 2026. Fares shift continuously — confirm at booking.