New York → Cartagena flights

Fares swing wildly: aim for $194–$261, skip the $500+ days

Key takeaways

• Median fare is $261 — a reasonable target price for this route
• Bottom quartile fares sit at $194, suggesting real deals are findable with patience
• Top quartile jumps to $501, and the high was $735 — late or inflexible searches get punished hard
• A 348% spread between low ($164) and high ($735) is unusually wide for this route
• Sample is 26 days, enough to see the pattern but not enough to pin down weekly cycles with confidence

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the JFK → CTG price history page.

The full picture

The data shows a route with an unusually wide pricing range: fares as low as $164 and as high as $735 over just 26 sampled days. That's a 348% spread — far wider than the 15-30% swings typical of more stable routes. This tells us JFK–Cartagena isn't a route where you can expect a narrow, predictable price band; it's one where the gap between a good fare and a bad one is enormous, and landing in the bottom quartile ($194 or below) versus the top quartile ($501+) makes a real difference to your wallet.

With a median of $261 sitting much closer to the low end than the high end, the data suggests that higher fares are less common but pull the average and high-end numbers up sharply — likely tied to peak-demand departures or last-minute searches. We can't tell you a specific date or day-of-week to target, since the data doesn't show reliable patterns there, but the shape of this distribution is instructive: most of your 26 sampled days likely clustered in the $194-$350 range, with a smaller number of expensive outliers stretching toward $735. That means a shopper who sees something in the $200s should feel reasonably confident treating it as a good fare, while anything above $400 is worth waiting out or searching alternate dates.

One practical takeaway: because the spread is this wide, setting a price alert and waiting for a fare near or below the median ($261) is a more defensible strategy than trying to time your purchase to a specific day. The honest caveat here is that 26 days of snapshots is a modest sample — it's enough to establish that this route is volatile, but not enough to confidently characterize weekly or seasonal cycles. Treat these figures as a useful reference range, not a guarantee of what you'll see on any given search.

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