Houston → Chicago flights

Most fares cluster near $92–94 — a rare $58 dip is the outlier

Key takeaways

• Median fare sits at $92, with the bulk of observed prices between $92 and $94 (25th–75th percentile)
• Low of $58 stands well below the typical range — likely a brief promotional fare rather than the norm
• High of just $94 shows most days cap out near the median, suggesting limited upside risk once you're above $92
• 62% spread looks large on paper, but it's driven almost entirely by that single $58 low — not a volatile market
• Only 12 days of snapshots sampled, so this is a thin window — treat patterns as directional, not definitive

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the IAH → ORD price history page.

The full picture

The data shows a tight, well-behaved fare range for Houston to Chicago, with three-quarters of observed prices falling between $92 and $94. That's an unusually narrow band for a domestic route, and it suggests pricing on this city pair is fairly stable day to day rather than swinging with demand. The one outlier — a $58 fare — pulls the headline spread up to 62%, but it's an isolated low rather than evidence of a regularly recurring discount window.

Because we only have 12 days of snapshots, we can't make strong claims about how prices move across the full booking horizon (e.g., 60 days out versus 14 days out). What we can say is that if you're seeing a fare close to the $92 median, you're paying a typical price for this route right now. If something closer to $58–$70 appears, that's meaningfully below the norm and worth booking rather than waiting, since the rest of the sample sits so close to the high end.

We don't have enough visibility into carrier mix or day-of-week patterns in this dataset to say anything credible about specific airlines or which weekday departures run cheaper — doing so would mean guessing beyond what the data supports. The honest takeaway: this route's pricing is mostly stable in the low $90s, the $58 fare is the exception rather than a pattern, and with only 12 days sampled, the window is too thin to draw firm conclusions about longer-term booking timing. Treat the $92–94 band as your realistic benchmark, and treat any fare noticeably below that as a good opportunity rather than something you can count on seeing again soon.

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