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Dallas → Los Cabos flights
DFW to SJD fares have a median of $234 over a 15-day sample; the bottom quartile sits at the median, so patience near that mark pays off.
DFW–SJD fares center near $234, but tail risk hits $303
Key takeaways
- Median fare sits at $234, with the bottom 25% of fares also clustering at $234 or below
- Top quartile jumps to $303, meaning a meaningful share of searches land well above the median
- Overall spread of 49% between low and high fares signals real price volatility on this route
- Low end of the range hit $204, suggesting sub-$220 fares do appear but aren't the norm
- Sample size is 15 days — enough to see a pattern, but too thin for strong day-of-week conclusions
30-day price trend
See full numbers and stats on the DFW → SJD price history page.
The full picture
Fares between Dallas and Los Cabos show a wide spread — a 49% gap between the $204 low and $303 high over our 15-day sample. That's a wider range than most domestic routes, and it tells us this market doesn't price tightly around a single number. The fact that the median ($234) and p25 ($234) are identical is notable: it means at least half of the observed fares were at or near the cheapest end, while a smaller but real share of searches pushed into the $270–$303 range. In practical terms, shoppers who see something close to $234 are likely looking at a genuinely good fare, not an average one.
We don't have enough snapshots here to responsibly claim a specific booking window softens prices — 15 days is a useful but limited sample. What we can say is that the data shows a two-tier pattern: a cluster of lower fares near $234 and a separate, smaller cluster pushing toward $300+. That kind of bimodal spread often reflects fare-class availability shifting over time (cheaper seats selling out, pricier ones becoming the only option) rather than a predictable calendar effect. If you're planning this trip, treat anything at or below the median as a fare worth acting on rather than waiting to see if it drops further.
We don't have carrier-level detail in this dataset, so we can't speak to whether one airline is driving the cheaper fares or the pricier ones. The honest caveat: with only 15 days of snapshots, this read is directional rather than definitive, and the 49% spread means your actual experience could land anywhere in that $204–$303 band depending on when you search.
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Related travel pages
Why we regenerated this article: Median fare ↓ 23% ($303 → $234). We only rewrite when the underlying price index actually moves — stable weeks keep the previous take.
AI-authored from this route's 30-day price index. Article last regenerated Oct 17, 2026. Fares shift continuously — confirm at booking.