Dallas → San Francisco flights
Median fare DFW–SFO is $108; most fares sit tightly between $104–$108, with occasional spikes to $145.
DFW–SFO fares cluster near $108 — small window, occasional spikes
Key takeaways
- Median fare is $108, a solid baseline for budgeting this route.
- Bottom quartile ($104) sits only $4 below the median — most fares cluster tightly together.
- High outlier of $145 shows occasional spikes well above the typical range.
- Overall spread of 56% looks wide, but that's driven by a single high data point, not steady volatility.
- Sample is thin at 12 days, so treat patterns as directional, not definitive.
30-day price trend
See full numbers and stats on the DFW → SFO price history page.
The full picture
The data shows a fairly narrow core range for DFW–SFO fares: the 25th percentile ($104) and 75th percentile ($108) are just $4 apart, meaning most observed fares bunch tightly around the $108 median. The 56% spread figure looks dramatic, but it's being pulled by the $145 high — a single outlier rather than a sign of constant price swings. In practice, this suggests travelers booking on a typical day will likely see something close to $108, with real risk only of hitting an occasional higher-priced snapshot rather than gradually climbing fares.
With only 12 days of snapshots, we can't responsibly map out a booking curve showing when prices soften over a multi-week horizon — the sample simply isn't long enough to distinguish a genuine trend from noise. What we can say is that the tight interquartile range ($104–$108) gives some confidence that prices aren't swinging wildly day to day during the window observed; the $145 spike appears to be an exception rather than the norm.
No dominant carrier was identifiable in this data, so we can't speak to airline-specific pricing patterns or whether certain carriers are driving the outlier fare. The honest takeaway: budget around the $108 median, treat anything near $104 as a good price, and don't be surprised if you occasionally see something closer to $145 — but with only 12 snapshots, this is a limited sample and more data would sharpen the picture.
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Why we regenerated this article: Price spread widened by 52 points. We only rewrite when the underlying price index actually moves — stable weeks keep the previous take.
AI-authored from this route's 30-day price index. Article last regenerated Oct 10, 2026. Fares shift continuously — confirm at booking.