Washington → Honolulu flights

Median fare $327 — but a long tail to $671 means watch closely

Key takeaways

• Median fare of $327 is a strong anchor point for this route
• Bottom quartile ($327 or below) matches the median, suggesting many snapshots cluster near the low end
• Top quartile reaches $367, with occasional spikes as high as $671
• Spread of 124% signals real volatility — this isn't a tight, predictable market
• Only 12 snapshots sampled, so treat patterns as directional, not definitive

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the DCA → HNL price history page.

The full picture

The data shows a $327 median fare for Washington (DCA) to Honolulu (HNL), with a tight bottom half — the 25th percentile also sits at $327 — but a long, expensive tail stretching to $671 at the high end. That 124% spread tells you this route has real volatility: most of the time you're likely looking at fares in the $327–$367 range, but a meaningful share of snapshots came in far above that, likely tied to peak-demand dates or last-minute pricing.

With only 12 snapshots in this window, we can't point to a reliable softening pattern across the booking horizon — the sample is too thin to say prices consistently drop at a specific point before departure. What we can say is that the bottom quartile and median being identical ($327) suggests a cluster of good-value fares did appear repeatedly during the window, which is a reasonable target to anchor your search against. If you see a quote at or near $327, the data suggests that's a competitive price for this route rather than a fluke.

We don't have enough visibility into carrier-level data here to call out a dominant airline or day-of-week pattern with confidence — the payload didn't surface a clear carrier signal, and 12 data points isn't enough to responsibly split by weekday. The honest takeaway: treat $327 as your benchmark, be wary of quotes drifting much past $367, and don't assume a fare near $600+ is a holiday-season fluke versus a recurring pattern — we simply don't have enough snapshots to tell. Given the small sample size, we'd recommend checking fares over a longer window before locking in assumptions about this route's pricing rhythm.

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