Washington → Toronto flights

DCA–YYZ median is $95 — the sweet spot sits between $92–$96

Key takeaways

• Median fare is $95, with half of all 17 snapshots falling within a tight $92–$96 band (p25–p75).
• The low was $88 — achievable, but rare enough that budgeting to $95 is more realistic.
• One outlier hit $147, a 67% spread from low to high, signaling that prices can spike sharply when cheap inventory sells out.
• 75% of fares were $96 or below, so if you see anything in the low-$90s, that's a genuine bottom-quartile deal worth acting on.
• Sample size is 17 days — interpret patterns with caution; this is directional, not definitive.

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the DCA → YYZ price history page.

The full picture

Washington–Toronto is a short-haul transborder route where the competitive floor sits remarkably low. The median of $95 and a p25–p75 range of just $92–$96 tell a consistent story: when base fares are available, they cluster tightly. That $4 interquartile spread is unusually narrow, suggesting that the cheapest inventory on this route is fairly standardized — carriers aren't deeply discounting in layers so much as offering one competitive entry-level fare that either exists or doesn't.

The more important signal is the high of $147, which shows what happens when that entry-level inventory is gone. A 67% spread between the floor ($88) and ceiling ($147) on a sub-$100 median route is notable — it means waiting too long doesn't cost you $10 or $20, it can cost you $50–$60. On short transborder routes like DCA–YYZ, fare buckets can fill quickly around holidays, long weekends (both U.S. and Canadian), and peak summer travel. The practical implication: if you're seeing fares in the $88–$96 range, the data suggests you're near or at the bottom of what this route typically offers, and hesitating carries real risk.

Carrier-level patterns aren't distinguishable from this dataset, and with only 17 daily snapshots, day-of-week booking effects can't be reliably isolated. One honest caveat: this data reflects cached cheapest fares at the time of snapshot — actual availability when you search may differ, and prices can move intraday. Use the $92–$96 range as your target anchor, treat anything at or below $92 as a strong buy signal, and don't count on the $88 floor repeating reliably.

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