San Francisco → Florence flights

Fares holding near $357 — a tight, low-volatility window

Key takeaways

• Median cached fare sits at $357, with most prices clustered close by
• Observed range runs from $345 to $371, a narrow band for international fares
• Middle half of fares fell between $353 and $357, confirming low volatility
• Spread of just 8% means waiting for a dramatic drop is unlikely to pay off
• Data reflects 15 of the last 30 days, a thinner sample than ideal for strong seasonal claims

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the SFO → FLR price history page.

The full picture

Fares between San Francisco and Florence have been remarkably stable recently, with a median price of $357 and a tight observed range of $345 to $371. That's only an 8% spread from low to high — well below the volatility threshold where timing strategy tends to matter. When the middle half of fares (the p25–p75 band) sits within just a few dollars, as it does here ($353 to $357), it signals a market that isn't swinging based on demand surges or last-minute pricing panic.

In practice, this means the usual advice to "book early" or "wait for a dip" carries less weight for this route right now. With such a narrow band, travelers are more likely to save by comparing a handful of departure dates or being flexible on routing than by trying to time the booking window itself. If a fare appears at or near $353–$357, it's already in line with what most travelers are paying — there's little evidence of a meaningfully cheaper tier hiding later in the booking cycle based on this data.

We don't have enough granularity in this dataset to identify day-of-week or carrier-specific patterns — no dominant carrier was distinguishable from the sample, and the data doesn't break out departure weekday effects. One honest caveat: this snapshot covers only 15 of the last 30 days, which is a thinner sample than we'd like for a route that may see seasonal demand shifts (Florence travel often ties to spring/summer peaks). Treat the $357 median as a solid reference point for current conditions, not a guarantee of future pricing as the booking window moves further from any potential peak season.

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• Price history
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