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Miami → San Francisco flights

Median MIA–SFO fares sit at $117, with most prices clustered $117–$119; outliers range from $88 to $146.

MIA–SFO hovers near $117 — the middle band is tight

Key takeaways

Median fare is $117 across the sampled window, a solid baseline for budgeting.
Middle 50% of fares ($117–$119) are tightly packed, suggesting the typical price is very consistent day to day.
Low of $88 shows occasional deep discounts do surface, but they appear to be outliers rather than the norm.
High of $146 marks the upper bound seen in this window — worth avoiding if you have flexibility.
Only 12 snapshots were sampled, so treat this as a directional read rather than a definitive trend.

30-day price trend

MIA → SFO · cheapest cached fare per day · last 13 days · ↓ 18%

$88 low$146 high

See full numbers and stats on the MIA → SFO price history page.

The full picture

The data shows a $58 spread between the cheapest ($88) and most expensive ($146) fares on MIA–SFO, a 66% swing that looks dramatic until you look at the quartiles. The p25–p75 band is just $117–$119 — meaning the bulk of observed fares clustered right around the median of $117, and the wide headline spread is being driven by a small number of outlier days rather than constant volatility. That's a useful distinction: most of the time, you should expect to pay close to $117, with occasional spikes toward $146 or rare dips toward $88.

With only 12 daily snapshots, this sample is thin — not enough to confidently map out a booking curve or say when in the booking window prices soften. We can say that the fare floor ($88) did appear at some point in the data, so sub-$100 fares are achievable on this route, but we don't have enough resolution to tell you how far in advance that fare showed up or whether it's tied to a specific booking window.

No dominant carrier was identifiable from this dataset, and we don't see enough day-of-week signal to make a reliable claim about departure-day patterns. The honest takeaway: budget around the $117 median, treat anything at or below $100 as a good deal worth booking quickly, and recognize that with a 12-day sample, this snapshot is more of a current-conditions check than a long-term pricing trend for the route.

Ready to look at fares?

Search MIA → SFO on Aviasales →See the price history →

Related travel pages

Why we regenerated this article: Top quartile ↓ 18% ($146 → $119). We only rewrite when the underlying price index actually moves — stable weeks keep the previous take.

AI-authored from this route's 30-day price index. Article last regenerated Oct 10, 2026. Fares shift continuously — confirm at booking.