New York → Bali flights

JFK–Bali fares hover near $445 — little room to game the system

Key takeaways

• Median fare sits at $445, with a 30-day range of just $380 to $457
• Bottom quartile ($421 or less) is achievable, but gains over median are modest
• 20% spread between low and high — a fairly narrow band for an international long-haul route
• Most observed fares cluster close to the top of the range, between the $421–$449 p25–p75 window
• No carrier data available to flag a dominant airline pricing this route

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the JFK → DPS price history page.

The full picture

Across 30 days of cached fare snapshots, JFK to Bali has priced tightly around a $445 median, with a floor of $380 and a ceiling of $457. That's a 20% spread from low to high — on the narrower end for a route this long, suggesting fares aren't swinging wildly day to day. The bulk of observations (p25 to p75) fall between $421 and $449, a tight corridor that tells us most days land close to the median rather than near either extreme.

Because the spread here is modest, there isn't strong evidence of a dramatic 'book early vs. book late' discount window for this particular route — unlike routes where early birds or last-minute flyers see 30%+ swings. What the data does support is that shopping around the bottom quartile ($421 or below) is a realistic target if you're flexible and checking fares regularly, but expecting dramatically lower than that isn't backed by this sample. The $380 low is worth noting as an outlier floor — it did happen at least once in the window, so it's not unreachable, but it sits well below the p25 mark and shouldn't be the baseline expectation.

We don't have visibility into which airline or alliance is driving pricing on this route, so we can't speak to carrier-specific patterns, fare-class behavior, or whether certain connection types are pulling the average up or down. The honest takeaway: with a 20% spread and no carrier signal, this route doesn't show the kind of dramatic timing arbitrage some JFK long-haul routes do. Treat the median as a reasonable budget anchor, and treat anything in the low $400s as a good deal worth booking rather than holding out for.

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• When to book
  New York → Bali
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• Price history
  New York → Bali
  30-day daily price snapshots
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