New York → Mumbai flights

Target $342–$399 for JFK–Mumbai — spread signals real savings

Key takeaways

• Median fare is $395 across 30 daily snapshots — a solid anchor for budgeting this ~14-hour haul.
• Bottom quartile sits at $342, meaning roughly one in four observed fares came in at or below that level — a realistic stretch target.
• The spread is 48% (low $341, high $505), which is wide enough that timing your purchase meaningfully affects what you pay.
• Staying below $399 (p75) keeps you in the cheaper half of all observed fares — treat anything above that as a signal to wait or reconsider dates.
• The $341 floor is rare but real — don't anchor your entire plan to it, but it confirms sub-$350 fares do appear on this route.

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the JFK → BOM price history page.

The full picture

The JFK–Mumbai corridor is a long-haul market where fares genuinely move. A 48% spread between the observed low ($341) and high ($505) is substantial — it tells you this isn't a route where all fares cluster tightly and timing is irrelevant. The interquartile range is far tighter, running from $342 to $399, which means the bulk of competitive fares land in that roughly $60 window. Practically speaking, if you're seeing something in the low-to-mid $300s, that's in the bottom quartile of our 30-day snapshot sample — worth acting on. If quotes are creeping above $400, you're in the more expensive half of the distribution.

On booking horizon, long-haul routes like this one historically see fare compression in two windows: roughly 2–4 months out (when inventory is open but airlines haven't yet repriced toward peak demand) and occasionally in sub-30-day windows when premium cabins have sold but economy seats remain. The data here doesn't pin down a specific advance-purchase sweet spot, but the gap between p25 ($342) and the high ($505) strongly suggests that letting fares drift without monitoring carries real cost — upward of $160 per ticket.

Carrier concentration on JFK–BOM is typically limited to a handful of Gulf-hub connectors and a direct option or two, though the dataset doesn't isolate a single dominant carrier. That competitive structure generally keeps base fares from spiking in a single direction, which is consistent with a median of $395 on a route of this distance. One honest caveat: 30 snapshots capture roughly one month of fare conditions on a specific set of departure dates — seasonal demand shifts (especially around Diwali, Indian school holidays, or peak summer travel) can push fares well outside this observed range, and this data may not reflect those extremes.

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