New York → Mumbai flights

JFK→BOM fares cluster tightly around $331 — flexibility barely helps

Key takeaways

• Median fare: $331 — the middle of a remarkably stable price band over 30 days.
• The full observed range was $327–$340, a spread of just 4% — unusually narrow for a long-haul route.
• The interquartile range (p25 $331 to p75 $333) confirms that 50% of daily cheapest fares landed within a $2 window.
• Timing the market is unlikely to pay off — with only $13 separating the cheapest and most expensive snapshots, the upside from waiting is minimal.
• Budget $331–$335 as a realistic target; anything at or below $331 represents bottom-quartile value on this route.

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the JFK → BOM price history page.

The full picture

Over 30 consecutive daily snapshots, the cheapest available JFK–Mumbai fares showed almost no volatility. The median landed at $331, the 25th and 75th percentiles were separated by just $2, and the single lowest observation was $327 — only $4 below the median. A spread of 4% is exceptionally compressed for a 14,000-kilometer route that typically involves a connection and multiple carriers competing across different hubs.

What this means practically: the usual advice to monitor fares over weeks and pounce on a dip does not apply here with the same force. When the best-case saving from perfect timing is $13, the cost of that monitoring — in time and the risk of prices moving up rather than down — likely outweighs the benefit. If you have a trip in mind and the fare is at or near $331, the data suggest booking promptly rather than waiting. There is no evidence in this 30-day window of a meaningful intra-week pricing rhythm or a pronounced early-vs-late booking discount.

One honest caveat: 30 snapshots represent cached lowest fares on a single point-in-time query each day, not a full scan of all available inventory. Fares for specific travel dates — especially around Indian holidays, summer school breaks, or December–January peak season — may behave differently and could sit well above this band. Use $331 as a useful benchmark for off-peak travel, not a guaranteed floor year-round.

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