New York → Mumbai flights

JFK–Mumbai: target $342–$399, a 49% spread rewards patience

Key takeaways

• Median fare is $395 across 30 daily cached-fare snapshots — a reasonable planning anchor.
• Bottom-quartile fares cluster at $342–$399 (p25–p75), meaning half of all observed prices fell in that tight band.
• The floor was $339 and the ceiling $505 — a 49% spread that's wide enough to make timing genuinely worthwhile.
• Fares above $450 appear to be outliers; if you're seeing quotes near $505, waiting or adjusting travel dates is likely to help.
• No dominant carrier surfaced in this dataset, so checking multiple airlines (and their codeshare partners) is advisable rather than anchoring to one brand.

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the JFK → BOM price history page.

The full picture

A 49% spread between the lowest and highest observed fares on JFK–BOM tells you something useful: this is not a route where prices are locked in stone. The $166 gap between the $339 floor and the $505 ceiling means the difference between booking at a bad moment and a good one is roughly the cost of a night's accommodation in Mumbai. The p25–p75 interquartile range of $342–$399 is comparatively tight, suggesting that genuinely cheap fares appear with some regularity — they're not once-in-a-season flukes — but so do expensive ones. Your practical target should be anything at or below $399, which historically represents the upper edge of the cheaper half of fares observed.

On a route of this distance (roughly 7,800 miles, with typical flight times exceeding 14 hours and at least one connection for most itineraries), fares tend to behave predictably in one respect: the very cheapest inventory gets sold first on popular departure dates, and prices drift upward as seats fill. That argues for monitoring fares 6–10 weeks out and pulling the trigger when a quote lands below $395 — the median. There is no evidence in this 30-day snapshot window to support strong day-of-week booking patterns, so strategies built around booking on a specific weekday should be treated skeptically here.

One honest caveat: 30 daily snapshots capture the cheapest available cached fares on those particular days, not a full demand-and-seasonality curve. Prices around major Indian holidays (Diwali, Holi) or peak US travel periods (Thanksgiving, summer) can push fares well above the $505 high seen here. Use the $342–$399 band as a benchmark for normal travel periods, and build in extra lead time — or budget flexibility — if your travel dates coincide with known demand spikes.

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