New York → Dublin flights

JFK→DUB: Budget $306, but $258 fares do surface

Key takeaways

• Median fare is $306 across 17 daily snapshots of the cheapest cached prices on this route.
• The floor sits at $258 — that's also the 25th-percentile threshold, meaning roughly a quarter of observed prices hit that level or below.
• The top of the range is $317, making the full spread just $59 — tight enough that chasing a dramatically lower price carries real risk.
• A 23% spread signals moderate volatility: prices do move, but this is not a route where waiting tends to unlock massive discounts.
• With only 17 data points, treat these figures as directional guidance rather than a precise forecast — more samples would sharpen the picture.

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the JFK → DUB price history page.

The full picture

The JFK–Dublin pricing window captured here is notably compressed. With a low of $258 and a high of $317, the entire observed range spans just $59 — and the interquartile range (p25 $258 to p75 $313) tells a similar story. Most days, fares cluster in the $258–$313 band, which means the difference between a 'good' price and a 'bad' one is modest by transatlantic standards. If you see anything at or below $270, that sits in the bottom quartile of what this dataset recorded and is worth acting on.

On booking timing: a 23% spread is moderate rather than dramatic. Routes with spreads above 40% often reward patient, speculative shopping; this one does not reward waiting as reliably. The safer posture is to set a price alert around $270–$280 and book once you hit it, rather than holding out indefinitely for a floor that may not reappear. There is no day-of-week signal visible in the aggregated snapshot data provided, so claims about 'cheapest booking days' would be speculative here.

One honest caveat: this analysis draws on 17 daily snapshots — a thinner sample than the 30-day window this methodology is designed around. The statistics are directionally sound, but a larger sample could shift the median modestly or reveal price swings not yet captured. Treat $306 as a reliable anchor, $258 as an achievable stretch target, and anything above $315 as a signal to pause and monitor rather than buy.

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