New York → Dublin flights

JFK–Dublin: Target $248–$293 and watch for dips to $245

Key takeaways

• $293 is the median fare across 30 daily snapshots — a reasonable planning figure for most travelers.
• The bottom quartile sits at $248, meaning roughly one-in-four sampled fares came in at or below that price.
• The absolute low was $245, only $3 below p25 — suggesting that floor is real but not dramatically different from a typical good deal.
• A 46% spread between low ($245) and high ($357) is meaningful: timing your purchase can save or cost you over $100.
• The p75 fare of $308 marks the threshold where you're paying above-average — consider that your 'act now' trigger.

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the JFK → DUB price history page.

The full picture

The JFK–Dublin fare landscape captured across 30 daily snapshots tells a fairly clear story: there is a genuine price band here, not just noise. The median of $293 sits close to the p25 of $248, which means the distribution is right-skewed — most fares cluster in the $245–$310 range, with the upper end reaching $357 only occasionally. That $112 spread (46%) is wide enough to matter. Paying $357 instead of $245 is roughly a 46% premium for the same route, so monitoring prices rather than booking impulsively has measurable value.

In transatlantic markets like New York–Dublin, fares typically soften in two windows: around 6–8 weeks out (when airlines reprice unsold inventory) and occasionally 10–14 days out (last-minute yield management, though this is higher-risk). The fact that the p25 floor of $248 is very close to the absolute low of $245 suggests these bottom-tier fares are not isolated flukes — they recur with enough frequency to show up in the quartile data. If you see anything at or below $250, the data supports treating that as a genuine opportunity worth taking.

No dominant carrier is identifiable from this dataset, so carrier-specific booking advice isn't warranted here. One honest caveat: 30 snapshots reflect cached fares at the moment each snapshot was taken, not live booking availability. The $245 low may have been available for a narrow window. Treat the p25 ($248) as your actionable target — achievable with reasonable monitoring — and the median ($293) as a fair fallback if you need to book with less flexibility.

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