San Francisco → Hong Kong flights

SFO–HKG fares center near $277, but outliers hit $397

Key takeaways

• Median fare of $277 across 30 daily snapshots is a solid benchmark for this route
• Bottom quartile (p25 = $260) represents the realistic 'good deal' threshold to target
• Top quartile fares climb to $334, with a single-route high of $397
• A 77% spread between low and high shows this route swings wide — timing and flexibility matter
• With 30 days of data, the sample is reasonably sized but still a snapshot, not a seasonal forecast

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the SFO → HKG price history page.

The full picture

Over the 30-day window we tracked, SFO–HKG fares ranged from $224 to $397, with a median of $277. That's a 77% spread between low and high — wide enough that patience and flexibility pay off more than guessing a specific date. The bottom quartile of fares sat at $260 or below, which is a reasonable target if you're not in a rush: roughly a quarter of the days we observed cleared that bar.

We can't point to a specific booking window (our data captures a snapshot of cached fares, not how prices evolved against a fixed departure date), but the gap between the p25 ($260) and p75 ($334) marks suggests there's real room to save by comparing across multiple days rather than booking the first fare you see. If your travel dates are flexible, watching for a few days and booking when the fare dips toward the $260–$277 range looks like a sound strategy based on what we've observed.

We don't have reliable carrier-level detail in this dataset to say whether one airline consistently undercuts others on this route, so we're not making that claim. The honest caveat: this is a 30-day cross-section of cached fares, not a month-by-month or year-over-year seasonal trend — prices to Hong Kong can shift with holidays, fuel surcharges, and demand spikes that a single snapshot won't capture. Treat the $260–$334 range as your planning window, not a guarantee.

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