San Francisco → Mumbai flights

Target $540–$610 for SFO–Mumbai; avoid peak spikes above $700

Key takeaways

• Median fare is $608, based on 30 daily snapshots of the cheapest available cached fares on this route.
• Bottom-quartile fares fall at or below $542 — that's your realistic target if you have scheduling flexibility.
• The lowest recorded fare was $453, though the spread of 100% means highs can reach $907, so timing matters significantly.
• The interquartile range spans $135 ($542–$677), suggesting meaningful but not extreme day-to-day volatility on this route.
• No single dominant carrier is identifiable from this dataset, so comparing across multiple airlines is especially worthwhile here.

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the SFO → BOM price history page.

The full picture

SFO–Mumbai is a long-haul transpacific/transatlantic corridor where fares can move sharply depending on demand cycles, fuel surcharges, and connecting hub availability. The 30-day snapshot window shows a median of $608, with the middle 50% of observations clustering between $542 and $677 — a $135 interquartile range that reflects moderate but real variability. The 100% spread (low of $453, high of $907) is a clear signal that this route has pronounced price peaks worth avoiding; paying $907 when the market median is $608 represents a 49% premium that careful timing can largely sidestep.

For booking strategy, the p25 threshold of $542 is a credible target rather than a guaranteed floor. Fares on routes of this distance — typically 17–20+ hours including connections — tend to soften when airlines are managing yield on remaining inventory, often in the 6–10 week window before departure for off-peak travel periods. That said, last-minute fares on SFO–BOM rarely reward procrastination given limited seat inventory on premium long-haul connections. A practical approach: set a fare alert at or below $570 (just above p25) and treat anything under $542 as a strong buy signal worth acting on quickly.

Because no single dominant carrier emerges from this dataset, flexibility in routing matters as much as timing. SFO–BOM typically involves a connection in a Middle Eastern, European, or Asian hub, and fare spread can partly reflect which hub and carrier combination is pricing aggressively on a given day. Comparing itineraries across multiple connection cities — not just the cheapest direct result — is worth the extra minutes of research on a $600 purchase.

One honest caveat: 30 daily snapshots capture a single rolling window and may not reflect seasonal demand shifts, such as elevated fares around Diwali, major Indian holidays, or U.S. school-break periods. The numbers here describe what prices looked like in this snapshot period — not a permanent baseline.

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