San Francisco → Bangkok flights

SFO–BKK median sits at $452 — target the $413 floor

Key takeaways

• Median fare: $452 across 30 daily snapshots of the cheapest available cached fares.
• Bottom 25% of fares came in at $413 or below — that's your realistic target for a strong deal on this route.
• Top 25% of fares reached $482 or higher, so waiting too long risks paying roughly 17% more than the low end.
• The spread from low to high was 21% ($407–$493), meaning prices shift meaningfully — active monitoring pays off here.
• The absolute floor observed was $407, though fares at that level were uncommon across the 30-day window.

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the SFO → BKK price history page.

The full picture

The SFO–Bangkok corridor shows a moderately volatile pricing environment, with a 21% spread between the lowest observed fare ($407) and the highest ($493). That range is wide enough to reward patience and monitoring, but not so extreme that you risk being priced out entirely while waiting. The interquartile range — from $413 to $482 — is the more useful planning benchmark: most days, the cheapest available fare lands somewhere in that $69 band. Targeting anything at or below $430 represents a meaningfully below-median outcome worth acting on.

On this routing, which typically connects via a hub in East Asia or the Middle East, fares tend to soften when carriers have unsold premium inventory driving down the economics of economy cabins, or when connecting hubs reduce surcharges seasonally. Without a named dominant carrier in this dataset, it's difficult to attribute pricing behavior to a specific airline's revenue-management cycle. What the data does suggest is that fares in the bottom quartile ($413 and below) do appear — they're not theoretical — so setting a fare alert around $420–$425 gives you a reasonable trigger that sits just above the p25 threshold without chasing the absolute floor.

One honest caveat: 30 daily snapshots capture a single rolling window of cached fares, not a full seasonal cycle. Prices on a transpacific route like SFO–BKK can shift substantially around U.S. holidays, Songkran in Thailand (mid-April), and the November–February high season. The figures here reflect one slice of the market, and your actual departure timing will likely matter more than any short-term fare fluctuation captured in this dataset.

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