New York → Rome flights

JFK–Rome median sits at $164 — most fares cluster near the floor

Key takeaways

• Median fare is $164, just $10 above the observed 30-day low of $154
• Bottom quartile tops out at $164 — a large share of snapshots were already at or near the cheapest price seen
• Top quartile reaches $185, meaning most fares stay within a tight $21 band above median
• High outlier of $230 shows occasional spikes, but these appear infrequent relative to the median
• 49% spread between low and high signals real volatility — treat $164 as a target, not a guarantee

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the JFK → FCO price history page.

The full picture

The 30-day sample for JFK–Rome shows a median fare of $164, with a floor of $154 and a ceiling of $230 — a 49% spread from top to bottom. What's notable is how tightly the lower half of fares clusters: the 25th percentile ($164) matches the median almost exactly, meaning a meaningful share of snapshots were already priced near the cheapest levels seen. The 75th percentile at $185 suggests that even the pricier half of the distribution doesn't stray far from that baseline — it's really the $230 high that pulls the range wide.

With only 30 daily snapshots, we can't map precise booking-window behavior (e.g., how price changes as departure approaches), since this data reflects a rolling cache of fares rather than a tracked booking curve. What we can say is that fares in the $154–$185 range appear far more common than the $230 outlier, so a fare quoted anywhere near $164–$175 is consistent with the bulk of observed pricing and likely a reasonable time to commit. If you see something pushing toward $200+, the data suggests waiting, since cheaper fares have been available far more often than not.

We don't have reliable day-of-week or carrier-specific patterns from this dataset — no single carrier dominance was visible in the data provided, so we can't credibly attribute the spread to one airline's pricing behavior. The honest caveat: a 49% spread is substantial, and with 30 snapshots we're seeing a snapshot of cached fares, not a full booking-curve history. Treat $164 as a strong reference point for a good price, not a guaranteed floor.

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