Miami → Cancun flights

Fares hold near $152 — bottom quartile tops out at $151

Key takeaways

• Median fare is $152, with the bottom quartile (p25) capping out at just $151 — most of the field clusters tight near median
• Low of $128 shows real savings exist, but they sit well below the typical range, so treat them as an opportunistic grab, not the norm
• High of $170 is only about 12% above median, meaning the worst-case fare isn't drastically worse than average
• Spread of 33% across the 30-day window signals moderate volatility — enough to make timing worth a little attention
• Middle 50% of fares fall between $151 and $162, a tight band that suggests $152–$160 is a realistic budget target

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the MIA → CUN price history page.

The full picture

Over the 30 daily snapshots tracked for this route, Miami to Cancún fares centered on a median of $152, with the bulk of observations (the p25–p75 range) squeezed between $151 and $162. That tight interquartile band is the most useful number here: it tells you that on a typical day, you're very likely paying close to $152, not gambling on a wide range of outcomes.

The overall spread — from a low of $128 to a high of $170 — comes out to 33%, which is a moderate amount of movement for a leisure route like this one. It's not chaotic, but it's enough that patience can pay off. Because the p25 value ($151) sits almost exactly at the median, the cheap fares in this dataset aren't a large, easily-targeted segment — they're a thinner slice down near $128, likely representing occasional dips rather than a predictable pattern. That means shoppers should treat sub-$140 fares as a pleasant surprise to jump on when spotted, rather than something to wait out indefinitely.

The data doesn't isolate a specific carrier or reveal consistent day-of-week swings, so we can't respinsibly claim particular departure days are cheaper — that kind of granularity isn't supported by 30 aggregated snapshots. What we can say is that the route's pricing behavior is fairly stable and compressed: three-quarters of observed fares land within an $11 band ($151–$162), a sign of a mature, competitively-priced leisure market rather than one prone to dramatic spikes.

One honest caveat: with 30 snapshots and no visible carrier or weekday breakdown, this analysis reflects overall market behavior, not a guaranteed formula. Booking near or below the median ($152) is a reasonable target, but the $128 low should be seen as an opportunistic outlier rather than a benchmark to expect.

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  30-day daily price snapshots
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