Miami → Cartagena flights

Miami to Cartagena: median $124, but watch for $198 spikes

Key takeaways

• Median fare is $124, with the middle 50% of prices clustered tightly between $123 and $130.
• The low end is nearly at the median ($122), meaning genuinely cheap fares are common — not rare exceptions.
• A 62% price spread (low $122 vs. high $198) signals that outlier pricing exists and waiting can cost you significantly.
• 75% of snapshots came in at $130 or below, so fares above that level represent a meaningful departure from the norm.
• Sample size is 17 days — moderate confidence; the tight p25–p75 band ($123–$130) still gives a reliable baseline.

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the MIA → CTG price history page.

The full picture

The Miami–Cartagena fare picture is unusual in a useful way: the price floor and the median are almost identical ($122 vs. $124), which means this route spends most of its time near its cheapest point. The interquartile range is remarkably compressed — just $7 separates the 25th from the 75th percentile — suggesting that for the bulk of the booking window, fares are predictably low and don't move much.

The caution is in the tail. A 62% spread between the low and the high ($122 to $198) tells you that while $124 is the norm, fares can jump sharply — likely reflecting last-minute inventory tightening or high-demand travel windows. Because most of the distribution sits so close to the floor, those spikes are not gradual drift; they appear to be discrete jumps. The practical implication: once you see a fare at or below $130, the data suggests that's a fair price and there is little historical evidence of fares softening meaningfully below that level. Waiting for a better deal is unlikely to pay off.

This analysis is based on 17 daily snapshots, which is a moderate sample — enough to trust the central tendency but not enough to map a precise booking curve with confidence. Day-of-week and carrier patterns are not visible in the available data, so no claim is made about specific departure days or airlines. If your travel dates are flexible, checking fares across a range of departure days is worthwhile, but the bigger lever here is simply not waiting until the last minute, where the $198 high suggests real downside risk.

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