Newark → Paris flights

Target $217 on EWR–CDG — the window is narrow, act fast

Key takeaways

• Median fare is $217, with the middle 50% of observations falling between $214 and $219 — an unusually tight $5 interquartile range.
• The full observed range spans just $31 ($204 low to $235 high), meaning EWR–CDG fares are relatively stable right now.
• Spread is exactly 15% — the outer boundary of what we'd call a narrow market; don't expect dramatic dips much below $204.
• Bottom-quartile fares start at $214 — only $10 below median — so chasing a deep discount carries low expected payoff.
• Fares can jump to $235 at the high end; if you see anything at or below $217, that's a statistically solid deal on this route.

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the EWR → CDG price history page.

The full picture

The EWR–CDG fare environment right now is remarkably compressed. Across 30 daily snapshots, the cheapest available fares ranged from $204 to $235 — a spread of just 15%, right at the threshold where a market tips from "volatile" to "stable." The interquartile range tells an even tighter story: half of all observed fares fell between $214 and $219, a $5 band. That means the data doesn't support a wait-and-hope strategy — meaningful discounts below $204 are not what this dataset predicts.

For booking timing, the narrow spread cuts both ways. On one hand, you won't feel punished for acting quickly; the floor is close to the median. On the other, fares can push toward $235 with little warning, and the data shows no sustained pattern of prices drifting lower over the 30-day window. The practical guidance is to treat anything at or under the $217 median as a legitimate buy signal rather than a starting point for negotiation. If you're within a typical leisure booking window of 4–8 weeks before departure, the risk of waiting for a sub-$210 fare appears higher than the potential reward.

Day-of-week or carrier-specific patterns are not visible in this dataset — the data reflects daily snapshots of the cheapest cached fare regardless of airline or departure day. One honest caveat: 30 snapshots captures roughly one calendar month of pricing, which may not reflect seasonal shifts around holidays, school breaks, or schedule changes. If your travel date falls near a peak travel period, treat the $217 median as a floor rather than a ceiling and book accordingly.

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