San Francisco → Taipei flights

Median SFO–TPE fare sits at $344 — budget $321–$359 to stay safe

Key takeaways

• Median fare is $344, with the middle half of observed prices falling between $321 (p25) and $359 (p75) — a tight $38 band once you exclude outliers.
• The low end reached $238, but that's a floor observed only rarely; treat anything under $300 as a genuine deal worth jumping on.
• The high of $471 — nearly double the low — shows that waiting too long or booking into peak demand windows can cost you significantly.
• A 98% spread (low-to-high as a percentage of the low) is substantial, confirming this route has real price volatility worth monitoring over several weeks.
• Targeting the $321–$344 range is a realistic and data-supported goal; prices in that band appeared frequently enough to represent a reliable benchmark.

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the SFO → TPE price history page.

The full picture

The San Francisco–Taipei route shows a median fare of $344 across 30 days of cached fare snapshots, with the bulk of prices clustered in a relatively tight $321–$359 interquartile range. That compression in the middle of the distribution suggests that, on most ordinary travel days, you're unlikely to stumble into dramatically cheaper fares just by waiting — the realistic floor for a 'good' price is around $321, and anything meaningfully below $300 should be treated as an opportunistic find rather than an expectation.

The 98% spread between the observed low ($238) and high ($471) is the most actionable signal in this dataset. It tells you that pricing on this route is genuinely volatile — not just noise — and that the timing of your purchase matters. Fares on long-haul transpacific routes like SFO–TPE typically soften in the 6–10 week window before departure as carriers adjust inventory, then harden again inside 3 weeks as remaining seats reprice upward. If your travel dates are flexible, monitoring fares in that 6–10 week window and pulling the trigger when prices dip into the $321–$340 range is a strategy well supported by the distribution we see here.

No dominant carrier pattern is visible from this dataset, so carrier-specific recommendations aren't warranted. One honest caveat: 30 daily snapshots reflect a single rolling window and may not capture seasonal demand shifts — notably, fares around Lunar New Year, summer school holidays, or Golden Week tend to spike well above even the $471 high recorded here. If your travel falls near any of those periods, the benchmarks above may understate what you'll actually encounter, and booking earlier than the 6-week window would be prudent.

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