San Francisco → Taipei flights

SFO–TPE median sits at $505 — but outliers can swing wildly

Key takeaways

• Median fare is $505, with the middle 50% of observed prices clustered tightly between $505 and $548 (p25–p75).
• The $185 low is a significant outlier — it sits far below the p25 of $505, suggesting a rare flash sale or error fare rather than a routinely achievable price.
• Spread of 196% between low and high indicates extreme fare volatility on this route; budget planning around the median is more reliable than chasing the floor.
• Sample size is only 17 days, which limits confidence — patterns here are suggestive, not definitive, and should be validated against broader booking windows.
• $505–$548 is a reasonable target range: if you see a fare at or below the median, the data suggests that's a competitive price worth acting on.

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the SFO → TPE price history page.

The full picture

The SFO–Taipei route shows a median fare of $505 across 17 daily snapshots, with the interquartile range running from $505 to $548 — a relatively compressed band that suggests most cached fares cluster in this zone. That's actually useful signal: when prices are in the $500–$550 range, you're likely seeing a typical market price for this transpacific route, not an inflated anomaly. The $548 high is only about 8% above the median, reinforcing that the upper end of "normal" isn't dramatically worse than average.

The $185 low is a different story. A fare that lands 63% below the p25 is almost certainly not a repeatable market condition — it points to a flash promotion, a briefly mis-filed fare, or a deep-discount seat release rather than something you can plan around. Chasing that number as a realistic target would be a mistake. If you do happen to see a fare in that territory, move quickly, but don't delay booking a $500 fare while hoping lightning strikes twice.

Because the sample covers only 17 days, day-of-week patterns and booking-horizon trends cannot be established with confidence here. What the data does support: setting a price alert around $480–$505 gives you a reasonable trigger point — it's at or below the median without requiring the kind of rare market event that produced the $185 outlier. Carrier patterns aren't visible in this dataset, so comparison-shopping across carriers (particularly carriers with Pacific hubs) remains worthwhile. One honest caveat: 17 snapshots is a thin window, and a broader 60- or 90-day dataset could materially change these figures in either direction.

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