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San Francisco → Tel Aviv flights

Median SFO–TLV fare over 30 days is $467, with most prices tightly clustered between $466–$474.

Typical fare is $467 — outliers near $1,477 are the exception

Key takeaways

Median fare of $467 across 30 daily snapshots represents the realistic price to expect.
Middle 50% of fares sit between $466 and $474, a remarkably tight band given the headline spread.
High of $1,477 is a clear outlier — likely a one-off premium cabin or sold-out-economy snapshot, not a typical booking scenario.
Low of $430 shows limited downside versus the median — don't expect dramatic discounts beyond ~8%.
243% spread figure is misleading here since it's driven by a single extreme high, not routine volatility.

30-day price trend

SFO → TLV · cheapest cached fare per day · last 30 days · ↑ 4%

$430 low$1477 high

See full numbers and stats on the SFO → TLV price history page.

The full picture

The headline spread of 243% looks alarming, but the underlying data tells a calmer story. With a median of $467 and a p25–p75 range of just $466–$474, the vast majority of fares on this route are tightly clustered. The $1,477 high is almost certainly an outlier snapshot — perhaps a sold-out economy cache or a business-class fare bleeding into the data — rather than a genuine pricing pattern travelers should plan around.

Because 30 daily snapshots show such consistency in the middle of the distribution, there isn't strong evidence here of a booking window where prices systematically soften or spike. Unlike routes with wide, genuine volatility, SFO–TLV fares appear to hold steady near $467 most of the time, with occasional spikes that don't represent the norm. Travelers shouldn't delay hoping for a deep discount, nor should they panic-book expecting imminent price jumps — the data simply doesn't support either narrative strongly.

No dominant carrier was identifiable from this dataset, so we can't speak to airline-specific booking patterns or whether one carrier is driving the outlier fare. The practical takeaway: budget around $467, treat anything near $430 as a good deal, and don't be alarmed by a stray high fare if you see one quoted — it's not representative of the broader market. The honest caveat is that a single extreme value is skewing the headline spread statistic significantly; the 243% figure reflects that one outlier far more than it reflects everyday price risk on this route.

Ready to look at fares?

Search SFO → TLV on Aviasales →See the price history →

Related travel pages

Why we regenerated this article: Price spread tightened by 16 points. We only rewrite when the underlying price index actually moves — stable weeks keep the previous take.

AI-authored from this route's 30-day price index. Article last regenerated Oct 17, 2026. Fares shift continuously — confirm at booking.