San Francisco → Tel Aviv flights

Target $440–$463 on SFO–TLV — the sweet spot is narrow

Key takeaways

• Median fare is $463 across 30 daily cheapest-fare snapshots — a reliable anchor for budgeting.
• Bottom 25% of fares fall at or below $439 (p25), meaning deals exist but the floor is only $26 below median.
• The full observed range is $437–$527 — a 21% spread, moderate enough that timing matters but won't make or break your budget.
• Top-quartile fares reach $471 (p75), so anything above that starts to look like an above-average price worth avoiding.
• A $14 gap between the low ($437) and p25 ($439) suggests true floor fares are rare outliers, not a reliable target.

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the SFO → TLV price history page.

The full picture

The SFO–Tel Aviv market, at least across this 30-day snapshot window, is a relatively compressed one. With a low of $437 and a high of $527, the total spread is about 21% — noticeable, but not the kind of volatility where waiting a few extra days reliably saves you $150. The practical implication: when you see a fare at or below $450, that puts you in the bottom quartile of observed prices, and that's a credible signal to book rather than hold out.

The tight clustering between p25 ($439) and the median ($463) is the most useful data point here. Half of all observed fares fall within a $24 range. That means the booking-window strategy is less about hunting a dramatic sale and more about not letting prices drift upward into the $471–$527 band, which represents the pricier half of the market. For a long-haul route of this distance — roughly 7,400 miles — fares in the $440s remain competitive, and the data doesn't support waiting aggressively in hopes of a floor fare that, at $437, appears to be a genuine outlier rather than a repeating pattern.

No dominant carrier signal is visible from this dataset, so carrier-specific booking tactics aren't supported here. Similarly, day-of-week departure patterns can't be confirmed from 30 price snapshots alone — those snapshots reflect cached lowest fares, not a full fare-calendar breakdown. The honest caveat: this data represents one rolling 30-day window and may not capture seasonal surges around Israeli holidays, school breaks, or major events in Tel Aviv, all of which can push SFO–TLV fares well above the $527 observed high. If your travel falls near those periods, treat these figures as a floor-market baseline, not a guaranteed ceiling.

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