San Francisco → Tel Aviv flights

SFO–TLV: Target $568–$860, but outlier deals hit $436

Key takeaways

• Median fare is $860, but half of all sampled fares fell between $568 (p25) and $871 (p75) — a meaningful range to plan around.
• The lowest recorded fare was $436 — roughly 49% below median — signaling that genuine outlier deals do appear, though they're not the norm.
• Spread of 141% between the low and high ($1,050) is exceptionally wide, meaning timing and flexibility matter more on this route than on most.
• Bottom-quartile fares ($568 or below) represent your realistic 'good deal' benchmark — anything at or under this level warrants booking promptly.
• With 30 daily snapshots, the sample is statistically credible, though fare conditions can shift with geopolitical events affecting this corridor.

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the SFO → TLV price history page.

The full picture

San Francisco to Tel Aviv is a long-haul route with genuinely volatile pricing. The 30-day snapshot data shows a median of $860, but the interquartile range stretching from $568 to $871 tells a more nuanced story: fares cluster broadly rather than tightly, and patient or flexible travelers have a realistic shot at fares well below the median. The $436 floor is notable, but treat it as an occasional outlier rather than a repeatable target — chasing that number as a baseline is likely to leave you waiting longer than the savings justify.

The 141% spread between the lowest and highest observed fares ($436 vs. $1,050) is among the wider ranges you'll encounter on transatlantic routing, and it reflects a few structural realities: SFO–TLV is a thin route served by a limited set of carriers, often involving a European or Middle Eastern hub connection, and seat inventory at lower price points is genuinely scarce. In practical terms, this means fares can move sharply in either direction with little warning. The data suggests that fares in the $568–$650 range represent a credible 'buy' signal — below the first quartile and well under the median — and are worth acting on when they appear rather than holding out for a lower number.

No day-of-week booking pattern can be confirmed from this dataset, and claims about specific cheapest days to purchase are not supported here. What the data does support is setting a fare alert around the $600–$650 mark and being prepared to book within a short window when that threshold is crossed. One honest caveat: this route is sensitive to external disruptions — regional security conditions, airline network changes, and seasonal demand around Jewish holidays can all cause rapid price shifts that 30 days of snapshots may not fully capture. Factor that context into your booking horizon.

Ready to look at fares?

• When to book
  San Francisco → Tel Aviv
  AI-authored booking-window guide
  Open →
• Price history
  San Francisco → Tel Aviv
  30-day daily price snapshots
  Open →
• Where to stay
  Best hotels in Tel Aviv
  🇮🇱 Israel
  Open →
• When to book
  San Francisco → Tokyo
  Same origin, different destination
  Open →
• Read
  Kerem HaTeimanim: Tel Aviv's Yemenite Quarter Overflows with Shavuot Dairy Feasts in May
  Israel · 8 min
  Open →