New York → Paris flights

JFK–Paris hovers near $205 — most fares cluster tight

Key takeaways

• Median fare across the sample is $205, with a floor of $199
• Bottom quartile (p25) is $203 — barely below the median, meaning most days price close to typical
• Top quartile (p75) is $218, so paying over that is a sign to look elsewhere
• High end hit $250, a clear outlier versus the tight cluster below $220
• Spread of 26% is moderate — some upside risk, but the bulk of fares stay in a narrow band

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the JFK → CDG price history page.

The full picture

Over the 30-day snapshot window, JFK–Paris fares stayed remarkably clustered: the median was $205, and the 25th-to-75th percentile range spanned just $203 to $218. That tightness tells a clear story — on most days, the price you'll see is close to typical, and there isn't a hidden 'bargain window' waiting to be found. The $199 low and $250 high represent the tails of the distribution, not the norm, so treat them as the exception rather than something to plan around.

With a 26% spread between low and high, there's more variability than a truly flat route, but it's driven more by occasional price spikes than by a predictable soft patch. Based on this data alone, we can't point to a specific part of the booking horizon — day 10 out versus day 45 out — where fares reliably dropped, since we only have day-level snapshots of cached fares, not a true booking-curve view. What the data does support is a practical takeaway: if you see something at or below the $203–$218 band, you're in normal-to-good territory; anything pushing past $230 is drifting toward the high outliers we saw peak at $250.

We don't have enough visibility into carrier-level data to say which airline is driving the lower fares or whether one carrier dominates the cheap end of the range — the dataset didn't surface a clear dominant carrier signal here. Caveat: 30 days of snapshots is a reasonable sample for near-term pricing behavior, but it's a snapshot of current market conditions, not a seasonal or historical trend — fares for travel dates far outside this window, or during peak summer and holiday periods, could behave differently than what's reflected here.

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