New York → Paris flights

Target $259–$275 on JFK–CDG — spread is real but narrow

Key takeaways

• Median fare: $275 across 17 daily snapshots of the cheapest available fares.
• Bottom-quartile threshold is $259 (p25) — fares dipped below this only 25% of the time, so treat it as a realistic stretch target, not a guarantee.
• The absolute low was $221, but the top 75% of days sat between $259 and $285, meaning sub-$230 fares were genuinely rare in this window.
• Spread of 29% (low $221 to high $285) suggests meaningful price movement exists — worth monitoring over several days rather than booking on impulse.
• Sample size is 17 days — below the 30-day ideal, so treat these figures as directional rather than definitive.

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the JFK → CDG price history page.

The full picture

The JFK–CDG fare snapshot tells a story of a route with a narrow ceiling but a meaningful floor. With a median of $275 and a p75 of just $282, the upper end of the market is compressed — most days, even the 'bad' days for pricing, you're not paying much more than $285 for the cheapest available seat. That compression is actually useful information: it means you're unlikely to overpay dramatically if you book without obsessing over timing. The real question is whether you can catch one of the days when fares soften toward $259 or below.

The 29% spread between the observed low ($221) and high ($285) is statistically meaningful, but it's worth contextualizing: the interquartile range — where half of all observations fell — runs only from $259 to $282, a difference of just $23. That means the occasional $221 fare is a genuine outlier, not a reliable target. A practical approach is to set a fare alert at or below $259 (the p25 level) and book promptly if that threshold is hit, rather than waiting indefinitely for the floor to reappear. On a transatlantic route this competitive, fares at that level tend to reflect brief inventory releases or promotional windows rather than a sustained pattern.

No dominant carrier is identifiable from this dataset, and the 17-day sample window is thinner than the 30 days we'd prefer for confident day-of-week or carrier-level conclusions. Treat the $259–$275 range as your actionable target band, and be aware that fares on this route can respond quickly to demand spikes around holidays and school-break periods — factors this snapshot does not capture.

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