New York → Paris flights

JFK–CDG: Target $207 on this surprisingly stable route

Key takeaways

• Median fare is $207, based on 30 daily snapshots of the cheapest cached fares on the JFK–CDG route.
• Bottom quartile starts at $201 — fares below that threshold represent genuinely good value worth acting on quickly.
• The low was $187 and the high $234, a spread of just 25% — this route is behaving with unusual price stability.
• Half of all observed fares fell between $201 and $214 (p25–p75), meaning most shoppers will land in a narrow $13 band.
• No single carrier dominated the cheapest-fare slots in this data window, suggesting competition is keeping prices compressed.

30-day price trend

See full numbers and stats on the JFK → CDG price history page.

The full picture

The JFK–CDG fare environment over the past 30 days has been unusually calm. With a spread of just 25% between the lowest observed fare ($187) and the highest ($234), transatlantic pricing on this route is behaving more like a domestic corridor than a long-haul international one. That's useful information: it means you're unlikely to score a dramatically lower fare by waiting, but you're also unlikely to get badly burned by modest procrastination. The interquartile range — $201 to $214 — is where most realistic purchase decisions will land.

For booking-window strategy, the compressed range suggests that fare volatility on this route is low rather than cyclical. When fares sit this close together across a full month of snapshots, the practical advice is straightforward: if you see anything at or below the $201 p25 threshold, treat it as a signal to book rather than a reason to keep shopping. Fares in the sub-$200 territory (toward that $187 low) appeared but were not the norm — chasing them as a baseline expectation would be optimistic given what the data shows.

Carrier-level patterns aren't clearly distinguishable from this dataset, so route-level competition is the more honest frame here: JFK–CDG is one of the most contested transatlantic routes in the world, and that structural competition appears to be the primary driver of the stability we see. One honest caveat: 30 daily snapshots capture a single rolling window and won't reflect seasonal surges around holidays, school breaks, or major Paris events. If your travel dates fall near any of those, treat this data as a floor estimate rather than a guarantee — real-world fares during peak periods can diverge meaningfully from what a calm baseline window suggests.

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